J Darrin Gross
I'd like to ask you, Pranay Parikh, what is the biggest risk?
PRANAY PARIKH
So for commercial real estate, it's always debt, right? I mean, if you think about it, that's your biggest obligation every month, right? Every month doesn't matter. If there's a fire, there's a tornado, you have to pay the lender, right? Otherwise, they take the property back. So you can get that risk to zero by paying all cash. And that's possible, but you're gonna get a couple percent return. So you got to figure out where in the risk spectrum Am I comfortable, you know, and we, our last deal was about 60%. So we put a downpayment of about 40%, which you know, you and I would put down about 20% for our house, so this is much higher, but what that does is it decreases your loan payments, so your obligation is a lot less, right, you can get fixed debt, or adjustable debt, you know, within adjustable debt, you can get up by a rate cap means you pay money upfront, almost like points, so that the interest rate won't go above a certain amount. And you could do that for two years, you can do that three years. So you could make that very tight. So you know, that you have an interest rate of three, and it can only go up to four, or you can get looser, where you get have started off at three and it could go up to six. So there's a lot of ways to try to, to, one, get rid of it pay cash, pay as much cash as you can to, to mitigate it right? Doing a fixed interest rate. So the rate, the risk of interest rates going up is on someone else. Or you can transfer it to someone else by buying a rate cap where if it goes above a certain amount, someone else is going to pay that interest. So I think debt is super important. In 2008 multifamily commercial real estate actually did okay. But the people that did have problems were the ones that had bad debt, or they had debt that was coming due, and they couldn't refinance or get out of it. I think we've learned a lot of lessons. And I don't think that's going to happen again. The debt markets are a lot better. 2008 was just we, we didn't know what to expect, you know, and it was an issue with the debt because the debt was the biggest issue. No one else was giving out debt. Now we have supply chain war, all this other stuff, but it's not the debt markets that are having issues. So if you're looking at your own properties, if you're looking for an investment, really dial in focus on the debt and ask them about it like what what about this, do you think is going to minimize our risk of the bank taking the property back?