Today, my guests are Alison Williams and Anna Ramos. Allison is the Senior Vice President and Chief Production Officer at Walker Dunlop. And Anna is a managing director for the West Coast and mountain regions. And in just a minute, we're going to speak with Allison and Anna, about commercial lending strategies for multifamily.
I'd like to ask you, Alison Williams, and Ana Ramos, what is the BIGGEST RISK?
Anna, do you want to start?
Yeah, you know, it's interesting, because I think there's a lot of risk in what we do. And I think I'm pretty aggressive. I think we underwrite our loans pretty well, we're at a 125 120 debt cover over breakeven. Yes, we are a non recourse loan, but we vet it out the client. So when I assess risk, I'm looking at risk. It's more for the borrower, the risk of capturing the rate in today's environment, I the way we underwrite the way we get our values, the way we package the file. I think the agency when you look at agency, historically, our losses are very minor. So if being as in on the origination side, I would love to be much more aggressive and see more. But we don't we don't see that a lot. So it's really hard to speak on that, at least for me, because we don't see a lot of that the losses are there. They're unheard of. And it's very, very small. Just because of the way everything is packaged and the way everything is the way we underwrite the transaction, the property the sponsor, the management and we service the loans and how often we service and how involved we are with the loans from beginning to end and also through the life of the loan. So for me, it would be more the borrower side that today I think it's really critical, especially in today's environment is to lock that interest rate because of the risk and the volatility.
I'd echo Ana's comments, but I'll take a slightly different take. And I think what concerns me the most when I think about today is affordable housing. There's just a massive demand for affordability right now. And every market with the amount of rent and growth that we've seen in every city. I'm currently in Tampa, we had 25%, and rent growth year over year. And we're just starting to see, you know, just the lack of affordability. And with a lack of vacant land and where you can build and raising, you know, construction costs and rising interest rate, it's going to become much more challenging to build affordable housing to fit the needs of, you know, the average American. So I think that, to me, is when I think about the future, and my daughter and that kind of stuff, I just think about like, wow, we've got to tackle this affordable housing crisis that we're dealing with right now.
Today my guest is Rod Khleif. Rod is a multiple business owner, and philanthropist who's passionate about business highperformance real estate and giving back. And just a minute we're going to speak with rod about the investor mindset.
J. Darrin Gross
I'd like to ask you, Rod Khleif. What is the biggest risk?
I will tell you to, Today is June 8. And I have to say that because who knows what will happen to things are changing daily right now. But and I know this alehrer in a week or two, but But right now, the biggest risk that I have alerted my students to on several occasions is the debt markets. Okay, that I mean, it is crazy out there right now. And and I'm going to tell you that it when you're performing a multifamily right now, you need to do some worst case scenarios, like if you're planning on getting in, right now, the most common debt is bridge debt. And that is very, can be very honest debt. And, and because you have a business, you have a business plan, you got to adhere to that business plan. Otherwise, you know, what's could be non recourse can become full recourse. So it's very, very important that you do what you say you're going to do. And some of those have short fuses like three year timelines, and we could be in the midst of this recession in three years. So I would encourage you to do absolute worst case scenarios as it relates to interest rate, you know, take out interest rate, when you refinance, we just did, we just put 138 unit under contract, by the way, if if, if you were accredited, we it's a phenomenal deal. 54,000 A unit which is unheard of in an emerging market in Arkansas, so so if you're interested text partner to 72345, and get on our portal, because we'll be presenting that probably about the time this goes live. And it'll be a very short, it's not a big raise. So it'll it'll subscribe very, very quickly. But that that's a really good deal. But the point is, you know, we did worst case scenarios, what happens if the interest rates 8%? And can we still be okay? And yes, we could and so, you know, most people aren't doing that. Most people aren't, aren't stress testing these deal strongly enough? You know, and, and I think we're gonna see some upset when I'm, we're going to snap up some deals where they didn't do it right. You know, and I hate to say it, but that's likely going to happen, people are still overpaying, and they're not paying attention to that risk. And so I think that's the biggest risk right now. That's the first thing I thought of when you when you prepared me for that question earlier, Darrin, because I really, that jumped right into my head. So
Today, my guest is a returning guest, Brent Bowers. Brent is an investor and coach with a focus on buying and selling land. And in just a minute, we're going to speak with Brad about the business of buying and selling land and investing strategies.
I think the biggest risk is me dying. And my children and my wife getting taxed to death with this real estate that they're probably going to sell because I didn't set up a plan with trusts properly. I didn't have proper life insurance, like it talks about this, this great book that I read called, become the Rockefellers and using a whole life policy to, you know, be your own bank. So I think that's a huge risk. And it's like, I'm just recently learning about these things and implementing these things, to where I can fund this policy for, you know, maybe I get a chunk of money 10 20,000, I can fund this policy, and now my, it'll pass to my family tax free. And then oh, maybe I need that 20,000 Later, I can borrow like 90% of it at two or 3% interest. And that 20,000 is still making the 6% interest with the dividends and all this stuff. So I think that's a huge risk. Business owners not having that and talking to you there and about that sort of thing. Because the Rockefellers set it up to where it passes on. That's why they still have money six generations later, and the Vanderbilts don't really have as much money as they used to. So that's a huge risk, taxes, and death, to the things that we're all pretty much guaranteed.
Today, my guest is Marc Pégulu. Marc is the vice president of Internet of Things product marketing and strategy for Semtech Wireless and Wensing Products Group. And in just a minute, we're gonna speak with Marc about the IoT of things with commercial buildings, and how low raw sensors are being deployed to help builders, owners and residents overcome some of the biggest challenges for smart applications with commercial buildings.
I'd like to ask you, Marc Pégulu, what is the biggest risk?
So, you know, fall for what we talked about today, I would say for for us, the biggest or biggest risk would be having, I would say the wrong awareness or for low awareness about the technology and what it can do. We think that we have really a unique and huge opportunity in this law technology. We are extremely happy to have the opportunity to speak with you. For example, because you are helping us, I would say, to make sense to give a purpose to the technology itself. And this is the awareness I'm speaking about. Today, we are already, you know, willing to make sure that we are not seen as just, you know, new technology, you know, to always push the limit of the technology. We want to make sure that our customers and their customers understand that they have at hand now, technologies capable of bringing much more environmental friendly type of building and more social responsible type of building for their customers.
Today, my guest is Marcin Drozdz. He is a managing partner at M1 Real Capital. And they're focused on acquiring value add properties throughout the southeast us. And just a minute we're going to speak with Marcin whoreson, about attracting capital for multifamily syndication.
J Darrin Gross
I'd like to ask you Marcin Drozdz, what is the biggest risk?
I was gonna say if it's an insurance question, I'd say the replacement risk right now is the biggest thing that is certainly ringing in my head. But if we're speaking in general, contextually as the biggest risk, I think, right now, the biggest risk is not doing anything, and sitting on the sidelines and pontificating on what's going to happen next. Because you know, regardless of where we think things are going to go, and regardless of political leanings, left, right center, wherever you're at wherever you're going. Ultimately, if you stand still, if you stood still, for the last 12 months, you're you you experienced erosion of purchasing power, like you've never seen. And we've always known that inflation was kind of never we never, I don't know anybody that believes that inflation historically was 2%, or 3%, or whatever. We were told it was historically, but let's assume that was accurate for what it for the purposes of what we're talking about. Today. They're flat out telling you, it's six, seven, whatever, 8%. And that trend is only compounding. So for anybody who's sitting still and figure trying to figure out how to move forward. I think that is the absolute biggest risk right now.